Guards and Centers are boring, but I'm going to do it. So yeah. Eat it hypothetical reader. The interior line? Will have two real prospects going in round one. One in round two to three. And two are reaches. We'll discuss this further.
Centers
1. Maurkice Pouncey Florida (If healthy? 10 year starter and a Pro Bowl mastermind.)
2. Matt Tennant Boston College (He's a zone blocker with a good mean streak.)
Guards
1. Mike Iupati Idaho (If he refines his technique? He's the Guard Maurkice Pouncey.)
2. Jon Asomah Illinois (Great value. He's a second round instant starter for a guard. Plug and play.)
3. Vladimir Ducasse UMass (Physically gifted, but his technique is raw. Give him a year of seasoining.)
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Tight Ends to be taken on the weekdays...
The Tight End this year? While there are some safeish picks? This position feels more like a Boom-Bust scenario. Upside plays and injury risks dot the Top 10.
1. Jermaine Gresham Oklahoma (An explosive Aaron Hernandez, if his knee is right.)
2. Rob Gronskowski Arizona (He could legitimately be a Top 5 tight end in the league if his back's right. But it isn't.)
3. Aaron Hernandez Florida (A great pass-catcher, marginal blocker, poor explosiveness.)
4. Ed Dickson Oregon (Vertical threat with pretty good hands, good strength. Could improve blocking.)
5. Jimmy Graham Miami (FL) (As upside goes? Massive. He's not gonna be another Rickey Dudley. But will he be another Antonio Gates? Nah.)
6. Anthony McCoy USC (Not just another blocking tight end. He does have hands. However? No explosiveness.)
7. Dennis Pitta BYU (Catchers everything. Gets open. Cannot block to save a life.)
1. Jermaine Gresham Oklahoma (An explosive Aaron Hernandez, if his knee is right.)
2. Rob Gronskowski Arizona (He could legitimately be a Top 5 tight end in the league if his back's right. But it isn't.)
3. Aaron Hernandez Florida (A great pass-catcher, marginal blocker, poor explosiveness.)
4. Ed Dickson Oregon (Vertical threat with pretty good hands, good strength. Could improve blocking.)
5. Jimmy Graham Miami (FL) (As upside goes? Massive. He's not gonna be another Rickey Dudley. But will he be another Antonio Gates? Nah.)
6. Anthony McCoy USC (Not just another blocking tight end. He does have hands. However? No explosiveness.)
7. Dennis Pitta BYU (Catchers everything. Gets open. Cannot block to save a life.)
Labels:
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Draft Nerd
Monday, April 19, 2010
Inside Linebackers Day 1; 2: 140 Character Essence.
The middle linebacker is kind of a dying art. Granted, a 3-4 linebacker does have several aspects of the MIKE. But last year only two MLB's were drafted in the first day. This year? There's probably not going to be more than four. If Donald Butler goes Day 2? Spikes goes into Saturday undrafted.
1. Rolando McClain Alabama (A practically perfect two-down linebacker...who could grow up to be A.J. Hawk.)
2. Sean Lee Penn State (Kind of like Posluzny. Injury prone but spectacular when he gets on the field.)
3. Daryl Washington TCU (Probably more of a next level Weakside LB, but he could sneak into the end of round one with his skills Nick Barnett style.)
4. Brandon Spikes Florida (A poor Senior season and pro day make him a third round steal.)
1. Rolando McClain Alabama (A practically perfect two-down linebacker...who could grow up to be A.J. Hawk.)
2. Sean Lee Penn State (Kind of like Posluzny. Injury prone but spectacular when he gets on the field.)
3. Daryl Washington TCU (Probably more of a next level Weakside LB, but he could sneak into the end of round one with his skills Nick Barnett style.)
4. Brandon Spikes Florida (A poor Senior season and pro day make him a third round steal.)
Labels:
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A Twitter-Sized Breakdown: Day 1 and Day 2 at WR
If you look at the Wide Receiver position? You're going to see a run on these players on Friday. Obviously, Dez Bryant is going to be the first one off the board. And Demaryius Thomas has the physical gifts to drop between 21 and 32. But there will be at least seven guys selected in rounds 2 and 3. And most of that is Round 3 choices as well. I put the over under at 6.5 wideouts taken round three. Boom
So, in 140 characters? The top 12 WR's.
1. Dez Bryant Oklahoma State (Physically gifted. Great hands. But he's not nearly mature enough. Denver's an obvious choice.)
2. Demaryius Thomas Georgia Tech (Toolsy. Tremendous upside. Great hands. Great after the catch. If he learns the route tree?)
3. Golden Tate Notre Dame (Hyperproductive in a pro-style offense. A bit of Percy Harvin in him.)
4. Arrelious Benn Illinois (Could be a real steal. Kind of like Vontae Davis in that he has Zooker taint on him. But his skills are undeniable.)
5. Damian Williams USC (Good route runner, reliable hands, but who gives a fuck? He's a USC WR. Cursed!)
6. Mardy Gilyard Cincinnati (Quicks. Great hands. Ready made slot WR. He's kind of like a Hines Ward.)
7. Eric Decker Minnesota (Smart. Polished. One of the highest floors in terms of prospectdom. Great hands. Sleeperish.)
8. Carlton Mitchell USF (The antethesis of Decker. His strength is in his triangle numbers. Inconsistent hands and minimal numbers.)
9. Brandon LaFell LSU (Inconsitent hands and poor quarterback play doomed the preseason #1 WR. Reminds me of Kenny Britt.)
10. Taylor Price Ohio (Bit of a finesse guy. But he's got a lot of skills. You get him on your team round three? Thrilled.)
11. Andre Roberts The Citadel (Reminds me of Hines Ward. Gets open and off the line. Elusive at returns. Willing blocker.)
12. Jacoby Ford Clemson (His strength? Speed. Pure badass American Speed.)
So, in 140 characters? The top 12 WR's.
1. Dez Bryant Oklahoma State (Physically gifted. Great hands. But he's not nearly mature enough. Denver's an obvious choice.)
2. Demaryius Thomas Georgia Tech (Toolsy. Tremendous upside. Great hands. Great after the catch. If he learns the route tree?)
3. Golden Tate Notre Dame (Hyperproductive in a pro-style offense. A bit of Percy Harvin in him.)
4. Arrelious Benn Illinois (Could be a real steal. Kind of like Vontae Davis in that he has Zooker taint on him. But his skills are undeniable.)
5. Damian Williams USC (Good route runner, reliable hands, but who gives a fuck? He's a USC WR. Cursed!)
6. Mardy Gilyard Cincinnati (Quicks. Great hands. Ready made slot WR. He's kind of like a Hines Ward.)
7. Eric Decker Minnesota (Smart. Polished. One of the highest floors in terms of prospectdom. Great hands. Sleeperish.)
8. Carlton Mitchell USF (The antethesis of Decker. His strength is in his triangle numbers. Inconsistent hands and minimal numbers.)
9. Brandon LaFell LSU (Inconsitent hands and poor quarterback play doomed the preseason #1 WR. Reminds me of Kenny Britt.)
10. Taylor Price Ohio (Bit of a finesse guy. But he's got a lot of skills. You get him on your team round three? Thrilled.)
11. Andre Roberts The Citadel (Reminds me of Hines Ward. Gets open and off the line. Elusive at returns. Willing blocker.)
12. Jacoby Ford Clemson (His strength? Speed. Pure badass American Speed.)
Labels:
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Thursday, April 8, 2010
The First Three Rounds at Running Back?
There's a lot to be interested in here. Someone of this group is going to be a gamechanger. And someone of this group is going to be the focus of all fantasy owners who want to start a white guy at running back. See if you can tell who's who.
1. C.J. Spiller Clemson (I like C.J. Spiller. His worst case scenario is as a Jamaal Charles. But he does have a real chance to be a Chris Johnsonesque game changer, especially when you consider the fact that he was at his best all the while suffering from turf toe.)
2. Ryan Matthews Fresno State (Hyperproductive. He has a nose for the goal line, and he wasn't completely an issue of level either. He had good games against two Big Ten and a Big East team as well as his legendary 19-234-3 line vs. Boise State. He's a slasher with the worst case scenario is Ryan Grant. Nothing wrong with growing up to be Ryan Grant.)
3. Jahvid Best Cal (Here's the thing. Chris Johnson needed the bowl game his senior year to have a year with 200 carries. Now? He's the greatest running back ever of the moment. Jahvid Best is similar, maybe with a little less patience inside, but someone's going to draft him in the first round, and they'll be thrilled. He runs like a Dragonforce guitar solo.)
4. Jonathan Dwyer Georgia Tech (I see him as a Shonn Greene with softer hands. He has great power and deceptive speed. He's kind of failed the draft interview process. But he's got the sort of skills where he can be more than just a short-yardage runner.)
5. Toby Gerhart Stanford (I'm going to blow the mind of the draftnik community. Here's my comparison for Gerhart. Shonn Greene. Great power. Okay speed. No hands. There you go.)
6. Ben Tate Auburn (I don't trust him. He's a stiff, upright runner, who plays below his timed speed. He was strong last season under the Malzahm system. But that's not the sort of offense he's going to see in the pros, is it? He does have value, but I'd wait until Round 4-Round 5.)
7. Montario Hardesty Tennessee (If he's healthy, he can be quite spectacular. The problem, of course is that he has never been truly healthy. He runs like an upright Clinton Portis. And while a new generation Kid Bro Sweets is worth your time, will he be another Chris Brown?)
8. Dexter McCluster Ole Miss (This is the sort of player that a smart team can make into a David Palmerish weapon. Wildcat QB, Sweeps, Screens, Returns. Give him 15 touches a game and he will make at least one game turning play. If you just have him returning kicks? You're wasting time.)
9. Joe McKnight USC (If I was a GM, I would draft him for the express purpose of making him a Wide Receiver, because he reminds me of an undersized Darren McFadden. The obvious comparison is Reggie Bush and I can see it. Make him a Percy Harvin and it's first round skill in terms of third round value.)
1. C.J. Spiller Clemson (I like C.J. Spiller. His worst case scenario is as a Jamaal Charles. But he does have a real chance to be a Chris Johnsonesque game changer, especially when you consider the fact that he was at his best all the while suffering from turf toe.)
2. Ryan Matthews Fresno State (Hyperproductive. He has a nose for the goal line, and he wasn't completely an issue of level either. He had good games against two Big Ten and a Big East team as well as his legendary 19-234-3 line vs. Boise State. He's a slasher with the worst case scenario is Ryan Grant. Nothing wrong with growing up to be Ryan Grant.)
3. Jahvid Best Cal (Here's the thing. Chris Johnson needed the bowl game his senior year to have a year with 200 carries. Now? He's the greatest running back ever of the moment. Jahvid Best is similar, maybe with a little less patience inside, but someone's going to draft him in the first round, and they'll be thrilled. He runs like a Dragonforce guitar solo.)
4. Jonathan Dwyer Georgia Tech (I see him as a Shonn Greene with softer hands. He has great power and deceptive speed. He's kind of failed the draft interview process. But he's got the sort of skills where he can be more than just a short-yardage runner.)
5. Toby Gerhart Stanford (I'm going to blow the mind of the draftnik community. Here's my comparison for Gerhart. Shonn Greene. Great power. Okay speed. No hands. There you go.)
6. Ben Tate Auburn (I don't trust him. He's a stiff, upright runner, who plays below his timed speed. He was strong last season under the Malzahm system. But that's not the sort of offense he's going to see in the pros, is it? He does have value, but I'd wait until Round 4-Round 5.)
7. Montario Hardesty Tennessee (If he's healthy, he can be quite spectacular. The problem, of course is that he has never been truly healthy. He runs like an upright Clinton Portis. And while a new generation Kid Bro Sweets is worth your time, will he be another Chris Brown?)
8. Dexter McCluster Ole Miss (This is the sort of player that a smart team can make into a David Palmerish weapon. Wildcat QB, Sweeps, Screens, Returns. Give him 15 touches a game and he will make at least one game turning play. If you just have him returning kicks? You're wasting time.)
9. Joe McKnight USC (If I was a GM, I would draft him for the express purpose of making him a Wide Receiver, because he reminds me of an undersized Darren McFadden. The obvious comparison is Reggie Bush and I can see it. Make him a Percy Harvin and it's first round skill in terms of third round value.)
Labels:
Breakdowns,
Draft Nerd
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
If I was Drafting for the Packers?
I'm want to do this sort of thing as a thought exercise. If I had control of the Packers, what would I do? And it's only for my home team. So yeah. Here's how it would go.
1-23: The Green Bay Packers Select...Kareem Jackson (CB-Alabama)
I would bet my non-existent farm that unless a Kyle Wilson or a Anthony Davis are available at 23? Ted's likely dealing down. Last year was supposed to be a poor year for picks, thus the rare trade-up. As for me? I don't trust Charles Davis. Ryan Matthews isn't that sort of dynastic change of pace from Ryan Grant either.
So that leaves the secondary. Plenty of mocks have the Packers going with Devin McCourty out of Rutgers. But it's not something I'd agree with. McCourty is a corner built for a zone system. The Packers love to play man to man in the secondary. And with Kareem Jackson, you had a guy who was consistently challenged in the biggest conference in the NCAA and was shown to be a success.
2-56: The Green Bay Packers Select...Jared Veldheer (LT-Hillsdale)
Here's where things get interesting. At the end of the second round you have to start considering names like Dexter McCluster, Montario Hardesty, Ben Tate, and Jonathan Dwyer as well as the other seemingly glaring need in terms of a Vladimir Ducasse and a you can never have to many pass rushers scenario in Ricky Sapp. And did you mention that Atari Bigby is sort of injury prone? Plenty of directions to go here.
McCluster would be the sort of electric weapon that the Packers don't have in the backfield with Ryan Grant. Give him ten touches a game and that could well be enough to change the complexion of a game. But can he get to 185 pounds without losing a step? Because your average waterbug is about 10-15 pounds heavier than McCluster, and even then it nearly takes an executive order to get them 15 touches in a year.
I'm going on the assumption that Hardesty is gone, because he's been rising up since this process began. And if he was there at 56? He would be the sort of guy who would be spectacular as a fit in Green Bay. He's a slasher extraordinaire. And that's cool.
I would eliminate Ben Tate because he reminds me of Chris Brown and already has over six hundred carries in his system. And as for Jonathan Dwyer? I don't know why he's falling. But...
As for the obvious tackle scenario? At 56 small school sleeper time. Out of UMass? Vladimir Ducasse. Fun name, but he's a guard. The Packers aren't in need of that so much. But the thing about Jared Veldheer is that he's got a lot of sleeper in him. Physically stunning. He dominated division two. And he's not a waist bender either. He's just tall.
3-88: The Green Bay Packers select...Dekoda Watson (OLB-Florida State)
You can never have too much pass rush, and especially when you're on a team that lost a weapon like Aaron Kampman. And whiole Dekoda is somewhat raw as to the disengagement of a run defense, he can become a major contributor for what the Packers need right away.
4-122 The Green Bay Packers select...Kyle Calloway (OT-Iowa)
This is the sort of guy who's a tailor made right tackle. You can have him help inside or he can move Tauscher inside. He's an angry and mean man who gained a great amount of knowledge in the Packers Zone Blocking System. He's kind of like T.J. Lang, he won't start right away, but he'll see the field by the end of the year.
5-154: The Green Bay Packers select...Trevard Lindley (CB-Kentucky)
He's the sort of guy who was hovering on the end of the 1st round as the season started. An ankle injury and an atrocious Senior Bowl turn his stock into...this. But he's still a ballhawk. And he's still the guy who can diagnose most wide receiver routes. And he'll have a big opportunity here.
5-169: The Green Bay Packers select...Joique Bell (RB-Wayne State)
Yeah, his 40-time was crap. And yeah, he may be a D-2 stud like Xavier Omon. But here's the thing. He's got great hands, a willingness to passblock, and short yardage Dark Vengance! He'll be a nice third down back to start with and there's a shot at something more. He's got the lateral quickness of a mastermind. One cut and go!
6-193: The Green Bay Packers select...Darian Stewart (SS-South Carolina)
Atari Bigby is breaking down. South Carolina prospects always seem to be drafted two to three rounds before their upside. And Darian Stewart is the sort of safety who's at his best...in the box. Yeah. What up?
7-230: The Green Bay Packers select...Freddie Barnes (WR-Bowling Green)
Because he reminds me of James Jones. Yeah. What up?
1-23: The Green Bay Packers Select...Kareem Jackson (CB-Alabama)
I would bet my non-existent farm that unless a Kyle Wilson or a Anthony Davis are available at 23? Ted's likely dealing down. Last year was supposed to be a poor year for picks, thus the rare trade-up. As for me? I don't trust Charles Davis. Ryan Matthews isn't that sort of dynastic change of pace from Ryan Grant either.
So that leaves the secondary. Plenty of mocks have the Packers going with Devin McCourty out of Rutgers. But it's not something I'd agree with. McCourty is a corner built for a zone system. The Packers love to play man to man in the secondary. And with Kareem Jackson, you had a guy who was consistently challenged in the biggest conference in the NCAA and was shown to be a success.
2-56: The Green Bay Packers Select...Jared Veldheer (LT-Hillsdale)
Here's where things get interesting. At the end of the second round you have to start considering names like Dexter McCluster, Montario Hardesty, Ben Tate, and Jonathan Dwyer as well as the other seemingly glaring need in terms of a Vladimir Ducasse and a you can never have to many pass rushers scenario in Ricky Sapp. And did you mention that Atari Bigby is sort of injury prone? Plenty of directions to go here.
McCluster would be the sort of electric weapon that the Packers don't have in the backfield with Ryan Grant. Give him ten touches a game and that could well be enough to change the complexion of a game. But can he get to 185 pounds without losing a step? Because your average waterbug is about 10-15 pounds heavier than McCluster, and even then it nearly takes an executive order to get them 15 touches in a year.
I'm going on the assumption that Hardesty is gone, because he's been rising up since this process began. And if he was there at 56? He would be the sort of guy who would be spectacular as a fit in Green Bay. He's a slasher extraordinaire. And that's cool.
I would eliminate Ben Tate because he reminds me of Chris Brown and already has over six hundred carries in his system. And as for Jonathan Dwyer? I don't know why he's falling. But...
As for the obvious tackle scenario? At 56 small school sleeper time. Out of UMass? Vladimir Ducasse. Fun name, but he's a guard. The Packers aren't in need of that so much. But the thing about Jared Veldheer is that he's got a lot of sleeper in him. Physically stunning. He dominated division two. And he's not a waist bender either. He's just tall.
3-88: The Green Bay Packers select...Dekoda Watson (OLB-Florida State)
You can never have too much pass rush, and especially when you're on a team that lost a weapon like Aaron Kampman. And whiole Dekoda is somewhat raw as to the disengagement of a run defense, he can become a major contributor for what the Packers need right away.
4-122 The Green Bay Packers select...Kyle Calloway (OT-Iowa)
This is the sort of guy who's a tailor made right tackle. You can have him help inside or he can move Tauscher inside. He's an angry and mean man who gained a great amount of knowledge in the Packers Zone Blocking System. He's kind of like T.J. Lang, he won't start right away, but he'll see the field by the end of the year.
5-154: The Green Bay Packers select...Trevard Lindley (CB-Kentucky)
He's the sort of guy who was hovering on the end of the 1st round as the season started. An ankle injury and an atrocious Senior Bowl turn his stock into...this. But he's still a ballhawk. And he's still the guy who can diagnose most wide receiver routes. And he'll have a big opportunity here.
5-169: The Green Bay Packers select...Joique Bell (RB-Wayne State)
Yeah, his 40-time was crap. And yeah, he may be a D-2 stud like Xavier Omon. But here's the thing. He's got great hands, a willingness to passblock, and short yardage Dark Vengance! He'll be a nice third down back to start with and there's a shot at something more. He's got the lateral quickness of a mastermind. One cut and go!
6-193: The Green Bay Packers select...Darian Stewart (SS-South Carolina)
Atari Bigby is breaking down. South Carolina prospects always seem to be drafted two to three rounds before their upside. And Darian Stewart is the sort of safety who's at his best...in the box. Yeah. What up?
7-230: The Green Bay Packers select...Freddie Barnes (WR-Bowling Green)
Because he reminds me of James Jones. Yeah. What up?
Labels:
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Double T,
Draft Nerd
Thursday, April 1, 2010
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