Wednesday, November 12, 2008
JAVON RINGER IS GONNA BE A BUST!
Okay. A seeming bit of controversy there. I just rolled up on you and said that the most hyperproductive back that has the potential to be available in the 2009 Draft is going to be fail. I should bring something empirical to the table right? Right.
So let's go.
1. Injury History.
We'll break it down simply. A torn ACL in high school. A torn MCL. Add in a sprained ankle and shoulder surgery and you have to see that he's a mere mortal. And I know. It's a running back. Running backs can be gimpy. I can dig it. But most teams have nine games played. And if you look at the numbers? There's a scary number.
That's how many carries Javon Ringer has. There are many reasons to be scared of this number. One fact? 330 college carries in a season and you're in line to be a bust. Pro Football Prospectus had a list based on those who have 330 carries in a season. And while some special runners have had a place on that list (Barry Sanders, Adrian Peterson, Marcus Allen), there have a lot more boom than bust. For every O.J. Simpson there is a Byron Hanspard or a Troy Davis.
But you know what? Outside of Barry Sanders? There's certain facts that seperate the men from the busts.
Ringer doesn't have average, let alone special elusiveness. 4.4 YPC is very weak for this crop of top draft prospects. Arian Foster looks down at that shit, man.
In terms of his collegiate production, this season from Ringer is pretty eerily reminiscent of Badger one-year sensation Brian Calhoun. (348-1636-18). And you can add three games to Ringer's total. Why is this improtant? Because Ringer is 5'9" 205. And those listed who had success in the pros? All could be construed as big backs.
There you go. A four point reasoning as to why the Ringer will not have success as a professional. I am not saying this to denigrate the man. If he proves me wrong? I hope he's a Packer or in the AFC while he does that.
But I doubt it.